The subject of this thesis work is aimed at producing and applying a methodology for post flood damage assessment as well as understanding and analyzing the level of emergency response by linking it with temporal and spatial scale of the flood itself. The application is carried out on the 2014 floods that occurred during the third week of May on many different locations in Serbia, triggered by exceptionally heavy rains that had been caused by the low-pressure system over the Adriatic and which devastated large areas and provoked many victims (57). The methodology that has been used as a starting point, is the one proposed by researchers from Politecnico di Milano and Umbria Civil Protection Authority for the case study of floods in Umbria region. During development process of the Master Thesis, the latter methodology has been partially upgraded and some new concepts have been introduced. The necessary data has been collected from different Government and private sources in Serbia, and then obtained information was translated, structured according to a predefined logic framework and then analyzed. All the concepts related to event evolution, post-damage assessment and emergency response, were investigated at the local level considering Municipality of Obrenovac, whereas some general overview has been given for the situation at the regional scale. After assessment results are obtained, several failures in the emergency response have been highlighted and examined following the so called “forensic investigation approach”. As a result of the analysis recommendations on how to improve emergency planning were provided. Outcomes of all performed analyses were synthetized in a sort of report representation that incorporate the chapters of this thesis work and allows that some technical aspects to become more applicable in future similar cases.
L’obiettivo dei questa tesi è di sviluppare e applicare una metodologia per la valutazione dei danni a seguito di un evento alluvionale nonché di comprendere e analizzarela risposta in emergenza considerando l’evento a diverse scale spaziali e temporali. L’applicazione è stata condotta sul caso studio dell’alluvione avvenuta in Serbia nel Maggio del 2014, provocata da un sistema depressionario sopra l’Adriatico, che ha provocato numerosi danni e diverse vittime. La metodologia utilizzata è quella sviluppata da un gruppo di ricercatori del Politecnico di Milano insieme alla Protezione Civile della Regione Umbria nell’ambito di alcuni progetti nazionali e internazionali. Nel corso dell’elaborazione della tesi, la metodologia è stata parzialmente modificata e adattata al caso studio di riferimento introducendo anche alcuni concetti innovativi. I dati sono stati ottenuti in diverse campagne di raccolta dati presso diversi enti governativi e privati, tradotti in inglese, analizzati e organizzati secondo una struttura corrispondente alla metodologia utilizzata. In particolare, oltre all’analisi dei danni a diversi settori, si è indagato nel dettaglio l’andamento della gestione dell’emergenza in tutta la durata dell’evento, cercando di ricostruirne la dinamica sia rispetto alle scale spaziali sia a quelle temporali opportune. In particolare, sia la valutazione danni sia la risposta in emergenza sono state condotte e analizzate alla scala locale del comune di Obrenovac. Successivamente, le lezioni apprese dal confronto tra dinamica fisica dell’evento e sua evoluzione temporale, risposta in emergenza e danni ha permesso di proporre delle raccomandazioni per migliorare la preparazione alla gestione di emergenze simili. Il tutto è stato condotto in modo da costruire un percorso di lavoro che possa essere applicato anche in futuro.
Enhanced post disaster damage and emergency response assessment to improve disaster preparedness. The 2014 May floods in Serbia
RAKONJAC, NIKOLA
2017/2018
Abstract
The subject of this thesis work is aimed at producing and applying a methodology for post flood damage assessment as well as understanding and analyzing the level of emergency response by linking it with temporal and spatial scale of the flood itself. The application is carried out on the 2014 floods that occurred during the third week of May on many different locations in Serbia, triggered by exceptionally heavy rains that had been caused by the low-pressure system over the Adriatic and which devastated large areas and provoked many victims (57). The methodology that has been used as a starting point, is the one proposed by researchers from Politecnico di Milano and Umbria Civil Protection Authority for the case study of floods in Umbria region. During development process of the Master Thesis, the latter methodology has been partially upgraded and some new concepts have been introduced. The necessary data has been collected from different Government and private sources in Serbia, and then obtained information was translated, structured according to a predefined logic framework and then analyzed. All the concepts related to event evolution, post-damage assessment and emergency response, were investigated at the local level considering Municipality of Obrenovac, whereas some general overview has been given for the situation at the regional scale. After assessment results are obtained, several failures in the emergency response have been highlighted and examined following the so called “forensic investigation approach”. As a result of the analysis recommendations on how to improve emergency planning were provided. Outcomes of all performed analyses were synthetized in a sort of report representation that incorporate the chapters of this thesis work and allows that some technical aspects to become more applicable in future similar cases.| File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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2018_10_RAKONJAC.pdf
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https://hdl.handle.net/10589/143086