Multi-method modelling and analysis of the impact of energy critical infrastructures disruptions on the fast moving consumer goods supply chain

The main objective of this work is the analysis of the interdependencies between Critical Infrastructures and Key Resources Supply Chain. The concepts of Key resources Supply Chain and interrelated risks are described, and the relation among these risks and the Critical Infrastructures are underlined. Consequentially a definition and description of Critical Infrastructures are reported and the policies applied by Commisions stated by Continents are deeply described. Then a literature review of the modelling techniques applied to either SC and CIs Network is proposed, and the advantages and drawbacks are listed. Based on the literature observations, the choice to build a multi-method model including System Dynamic method and Discrete Event Simulation is done. The system dynamic method is capable to analyze the interdependencies between Key Resource Supply Chain and Critical Infrastructures, and Discrete Event Simulation gives the possibility to better tipify the Supply Chain. The SC modelled in this work is the Italian Fast Moving Consumer Goods Supply Chain. A description of the main characteristics is reported in this work. Besides the interdependencies between CIs themselves, in this work are also analyzed and described, through modeling creating and simulation, the interdependencies between CIs and Fast Moving Consumer Goods supply chain. The simulation is done using a software called Anylogic. Finally four disruption scenarios of the Energy Critical Infrastructures (Gas, Fuel, Power Generation, Water) are simulated, and four Resilience strategies are modelled and simulated with different Resilience Capabilities. The simulation plan results suggest the strategies to implement, depending on the Resilence Capabilities that can be reached with the strategy actions applied.